2025/05/21

Outlook for Japan's 2025 Rainy Season (Tsuyu)

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, the rainy season ended in western Japan on June 27th. 

This is the earliest end of the rainy season in the history of Japanese meteorological observations. 

It looks like the hot summer will be long in Japan this year. Please be careful.

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The 2025 rainy season in Japan is expected to feature a “shorter duration,” “average to above-average rainfall,” and “increased risk of heavy rain disasters during peak periods.” Below, you’ll find a detailed explanation including the expected timing of the rainy season’s start and end in each region, weather trends, and points to watch.


Regional Overview: Start and End of the Rainy Season

Okinawa & Amami

  • Start: Late May (later than usual)

  • End: Mid-June (earlier than usual)

  • Duration: More than 10 days shorter than average

  • Rainfall: Average or less than average

Southern Kyushu

  • Start: Around May 30 (about average)

  • End: Mid-July (slightly earlier than usual)

  • Rainfall: Average or above average

Northern Kyushu, Shikoku, Chugoku, Kinki, Tokai, Kanto-Koshin

  • Start: Early June (about average)

    • Specifically, around June 4–7

  • End: Mid-July (about average or slightly earlier)

  • Rainfall: Average or above average

Hokuriku & Southern Tohoku

  • Start: Mid-June (about average or slightly later)

  • End: Mid-July (earlier than usual)

  • Rainfall: Average or above average

Northern Tohoku

  • Start: Mid-June (about average)

  • End: Late July (earlier than usual)

  • Rainfall: Average or above average


Characteristics of the 2025 Rainy Season

General Trends

  • Overall, the rainy season will be shorter than usual, especially in Okinawa and Amami, where it may be more than 10 days shorter than average.

  • The rainy season will progress from south to north, with both the start and end dates moving up the archipelago.

  • Compared to last year (2024), the rainy season will start earlier in many regions. In 2024, the start was generally late, but in 2025, it is expected to be average or slightly early.

Rainfall and Heavy Rain Risks

  • Okinawa & Amami: Rainfall will be average or below average. However, from early to mid-June, the rainy front may become active, bringing heavy rain at times.

  • Southern Kyushu to Northern Tohoku: Rainfall will be average or above average. Particularly from late June to early July, the Pacific high-pressure system will strengthen, activating the rainy front and increasing the risk of heavy rain and disasters in western and eastern Japan, as well as Hokuriku and Tohoku.


Meteorological Background

  • In 2025, the influence of the La Niña phenomenon is weakening, and sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Pacific remain high. As a result, the jet stream tends to flow further north, and the Pacific high-pressure system is expected to expand strongly.

  • In June, the Pacific high will be strong, causing the rainy front to linger around Kyushu and the southern coast of Honshu.

  • In July, the Pacific high will extend further north, pushing the rainy front up to the Sea of Japan and Tohoku regions.


Regional Rainfall Peaks and Precautions

RegionPeak Rainfall PeriodRainfall TrendPoints of Caution
Okinawa & AmamiEarly to mid-JuneAvg. or below avg.Watch for heavy rain, river flooding, and landslides
Kyushu–Kanto-KoshinLate JuneAvg. or above avg.Heavy rain, landslides, urban flooding
Hokuriku & TohokuEarly JulyAvg. or above avg.Heavy rain, river flooding, landslides
  • From late June to early July, warm, moist air will flow into the rainy front, activating it and increasing the risk of heavy rain, especially in western and eastern Japan, Hokuriku, and Tohoku.

  • Be prepared for river flooding, house inundation, and landslides.


2025 Regional Rainy Season Forecast Summary

RegionStart (Forecast)End (Forecast)Duration TrendRainfall Trend
OkinawaLate MayMid-JuneShorterAvg. to below avg.
AmamiLate MayLate JuneShorterAvg. to below avg.
Southern KyushuAround May 30Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
Northern KyushuAround June 4Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
ShikokuAround June 5Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
ChugokuAround June 6Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
KinkiAround June 6Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
TokaiAround June 6Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
Kanto-KoshinAround June 7Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
HokurikuAround June 11Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
Southern TohokuAround June 12Mid-JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
Northern TohokuAround June 15Late JulyAverageAvg. to above avg.
*Dates are estimates; please check the latest updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency or weather services.

Summary and Preparation

  • In 2025, the rainy season is expected to start late and end early in Okinawa and Amami, while other regions will see average timing.

  • The rainy season will be shorter overall, but total rainfall will be average to above average, with a heightened risk of localized heavy rain and disasters, especially from late June to early July.

  • Prepare early for river flooding, landslides, and urban flooding, and pay close attention to the latest weather information.

"This year, rainfall during the rainy season is expected to be average or below average in Okinawa and Amami, and average or above average from southern Kyushu to northern Tohoku. There is a heightened risk of heavy rain disasters from late June to early July


Tips for Rainy Season Preparation

  • Confirm evacuation routes and shelters

  • Prepare emergency supplies and disaster kits

  • Clean gutters and drainage

  • Check the latest weather updates frequently


The 2025 rainy season is expected to be “short but intense,” with a higher risk of heavy rain and disasters during peak periods. Early preparation and staying informed are more important than ever this year.



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